Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 3.196541 3.520925 3.871865 4.281049 4.746670 5.261919 5.877835
2025-10-12 2.770405 3.213208 3.725063 4.365438 5.152115 6.096059 7.328273
2025-10-19 2.502865 3.011002 3.626955 4.438589 5.495076 6.845259 8.737213
2025-10-26 2.306419 2.855992 3.547903 4.498928 5.797872 7.549373 10.160597
2025-11-02 2.141781 2.716432 3.463209 4.527131 6.042029 8.183738 11.560781
2025-11-09 1.952091 2.522891 3.283487 4.398701 6.041324 8.456389 12.449231
2025-11-16 1.813726 2.384662 3.163132 4.335418 6.117946 8.838541 13.548668
2025-11-23 1.707056 2.280369 3.078984 4.312163 6.244977 9.303422 14.844110
2025-11-30 1.656049 2.249386 3.094732 4.435421 6.606517 10.180460 16.990975
2025-12-07 1.569387 2.160116 3.017056 4.405781 6.715504 10.644194 18.457444
2025-12-14 1.484822 2.067984 2.927692 4.348283 6.769144 11.013064 19.798062
2025-12-21 1.379573 1.938603 2.772866 4.172041 6.601442 10.961502 20.276621
2025-12-28 1.331025 1.893725 2.747915 4.210759 6.819051 11.660546 22.491620
2026-01-04 1.294230 1.864581 2.745495 4.286692 7.111152 12.542197 25.304318
2026-01-11 1.259179 1.835712 2.740935 4.357439 7.399707 13.455764 28.404371
2026-01-18 1.224393 1.804943 2.730692 4.416301 7.670490 14.370080 31.733076
2026-01-25 1.186247 1.766421 2.704694 4.443839 7.881532 15.185740 35.018013
2026-02-01 1.123311 1.684189 2.600003 4.318387 7.770831 15.269641 36.313549
2026-02-08 1.076067 1.625516 2.532189 4.256562 7.784446 15.638935 38.525465
2026-02-15 1.038645 1.581361 2.486899 4.233842 7.877458 16.207772 41.496207
2026-02-22 1.026717 1.579356 2.514964 4.354257 8.290360 17.617500 47.574165
2026-03-01 0.992151 1.537080 2.468995 4.325303 8.370391 18.203596 51.106057
2026-03-08 0.955609 1.489788 2.411511 4.269131 8.383182 18.617258 54.172023